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New Market Report: Ukraine Telecommunications Report Q1 2013


New Fixed Networks research report from Business Monitor International is now available from Fast Market Research


Published on 21 February 2013



by Bill Thompson

(WireNews)

Boston, MA

BMI View: The Ukrainian mobile market recorded strong growth in the first three quarters of 2012, marking the sixth consecutive quarter of net additions. However, we retain the view that the trend is unsustainable in the medium term considering market saturation. Also adding to the market's unpredictability is the likelihood of significant subscriber losses from the potential discounting of inactive SIMs.

Key Data

- We have extended our forecast scenarios for Ukraine's mobile, fixed-line and internet sectors as well as operators' ARPUs to 2017.
- Ukraine's mobile market is expected to expand by 3% in 2013, down from the strong 7% in 2012, due to market saturation and the possibility of inactive subscription deduction.
- Forecasts for the number of individuals accessing the internet have been adjusted due to changes in data provided by the International Telecommunication Union. We envisage 22mn internet users in Ukraine in 2017.

View Full Report Details and Table of Contents (http://www.fastmr.com/prod/536582_ukraine_telecommunications_report_q1_2013.aspx?afid=201)

Risk/Reward Ratings

Ukraine is in 16th position of BMI's Risk/Reward Ratings table this quarter with a telecoms rating score of 42.8. While we have adopted a modified methodology to better reflect changes in the telecoms market, Ukraine continues to score below the regional average in all four of our ratings categories due to a combination of regulatory, industry-specific and macroeconomic factors. These include a fast saturating mobile market, lack of competition in the 3G market, low ARPUs, limited regulatory independence and expected slowdown in economic growth.

Key Developments

Astelit announced in November 2012 plans to roll out a CDMA2000 1xEV-DO Rev A 3.5G mobile broadband network, offering coverage to cities throughout the country in 2013. The operator will launch the network by making use of the 800MHz CDMA licences. Astelit has already introduced a tender to choose contractors to construct the CDMA network, said the firm's CEO, Oleksandr Barinov. The proposed CDMA network is aimed at solely offering services to data modem users. Additionally, the new CDMA service will be focused on taking the strain of high-speed data demand from laptop users. Meanwhile, MTS Ukraine completed DWDM technology upgrades on its transmission network. It increased the capacity of the network at border crossings with international partners, while improving network speeds to 100Gbps at nodes covering Kharkiv, Donetsk, Simferopol and Dunaevcy. The upgrades also support mobile 3G and 4G evolutions to facilitate the introduction of these services in future.


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Contacts

  •  
  • Bill Thompson
  • Fast Market Research, Inc.
  • PR Contact
  • Tel: +14134857001
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Posted 2013-02-21 15:43:00